Stony River leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 70% of adults in Stony River typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stony River, ~45% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stony River compares
Stony River runs about 41 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Stony River is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Stony River leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stony River, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 56% of adults in Stony River have never been married, far above similar-sized cities (around 23%). Stony River runs against the grain of Alaska, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Stony River, AK sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Stony River looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Stony River is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 38%, about 12 points below the Alaska average of 50%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sleetmute, AK D+29
- McGrath, AK D+15
- Chuathbaluk, AK D+29
- Aniak, AK D+29
- Medfra, AK D+15
- Holy Cross, AK D+15
- Shageluk, AK D+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lost River, ID R+65
- Dot Lake, AK R+17
- Charlottsville, PA R+62
- Marmon, ND R+71
- Krider, NM R+77
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.