McKinley is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 55% of adults in McKinley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in McKinley, ~8% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How McKinley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, McKinley leans more Republican than 4 of 8 neighbors.
McKinley runs about 27 points more Republican than Wyoming as a whole.
Why McKinley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for McKinley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in McKinley live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Wyoming average of 12%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in McKinley are family households, above 86% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; McKinley, WY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in McKinley looks the way it does
Turnout in McKinley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Glendo, WY R+74
- Orin, WY R+71
- Keeline, WY R+84
- Shawnee, WY R+75
- Douglas, WY R+66
- Esterbrook, WY R+67
- Orpha, WY R+68
- Sunrise, WY R+75
- Dwyer, WY R+73
- Manville, WY R+90
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zion, IA R+50
- Unionville, OH R+61
- Hollywood, MO R+76
- Hilger, MT R+62
- Patsville, NV R+34
- East McDonough, NY R+44
- Capulin, NM R+57
- Pakan, TX R+74
- Eagle Mills, AR R+43
- Bridgehead, CA R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wyoming Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.