Meadow Lakes leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Meadow Lakes typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Meadow Lakes, ~22% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Meadow Lakes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Meadow Lakes leans more Republican than 16 of 23 neighbors.
Meadow Lakes runs about 62 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Meadow Lakes is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Meadow Lakes. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Meadow Lakes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Meadow Lakes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Meadow Lakes votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Meadow Lakes runs about 62 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 87% of residents in Meadow Lakes drive to work alone, above 88% of cities. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Meadow Lakes are family households, above 78% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Meadow Lakes, CA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Meadow Lakes looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Meadow Lakes is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Auberry, CA R+39
- Pineridge, CA R+44
- Prather, CA R+46
- Tollhouse, CA R+47
- Shaver Lake Heights, CA R+12
- New Auberry, CA R+38
- Shaver Lake, CA R+22
- Lakeshore, CA R+18
- North Fork, CA R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mapleton Depot, PA R+70
- Spalding, MO R+66
- Swansonville, VA R+38
- Silesia, MT R+64
- River, KY R+73
- Expose, MS R+60
- Dougherty, OK R+61
- Lesterville, SD R+56
- Laporte, PA R+38
- Fairfield, ID R+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.