Shaver Lake Heights leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Shaver Lake Heights typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shaver Lake Heights, ~41% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shaver Lake Heights compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shaver Lake Heights is the least Republican-leaning.
Shaver Lake Heights runs about 32 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Shaver Lake Heights is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Shaver Lake Heights. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+7), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Shaver Lake Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shaver Lake Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Shaver Lake Heights votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Shaver Lake Heights runs about 32 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Shaver Lake Heights, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Shaver Lake Heights looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Shaver Lake Heights is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 68% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Shaver Lake Heights own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Shaver Lake Heights have completed high school, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Shaver Lake, CA R+22
- Pineridge, CA R+44
- Lakeshore, CA R+18
- Meadow Lakes, CA R+42
- Tollhouse, CA R+47
- Auberry, CA R+39
- Big Creek, CA R+17
- New Auberry, CA R+38
- Prather, CA R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wrights, IL R+65
- Van Burensburg, IL R+56
- Blockton, IA R+59
- Bessville, MO R+72
- Jethro, AR R+70
- Penryn, PA R+45
- La Junta, NM D+13
- Braddyville, IA R+58
- Jackson Summit, NY R+43
- Broadway, PA R+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.