Medley, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Medley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Medley leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.

 

About 46% of adults in Medley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Medley, ~20% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Medley compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Medley leans more Republican than 51 of 83 neighbors.

Politically, Medley sits close to the rest of Florida.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Medley. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+21) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 17 points.

Why Medley leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Medley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Medley votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 79%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.

High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout

Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Medley, FL does.

Why turnout in Medley looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Medley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 29%, about 14 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 42% of households in Medley rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Medley sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.