Naselle leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Naselle typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Naselle, ~25% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Naselle compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Naselle leans more Republican than 22 of 37 neighbors.
Naselle runs about 42 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Naselle is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Naselle leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Naselle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Naselle votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Naselle runs about 42 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Naselle sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 96% of cities). Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Naselle sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 76% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Naselle, WA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Naselle looks the way it does
Turnout in Naselle sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Deep River, WA R+25
- Menlo, WA R+24
- Rosburg, WA R+26
- Stringtown, WA R+18
- Grays River, WA R+26
- Chinook, WA R+18
- Ilwaco, WA D+2
- Oceanside, WA D+2
- Seaview, WA D+9
- Long Beach, WA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gracey, KY R+58
- Gordonville, MO R+65
- Crawford, TN R+70
- Carson, IA R+45
- Flemington, MO R+63
- Freedom, IN R+61
- Carpenter, OH R+48
- Hungry Horse, MT R+42
- Bolton Landing, NY Even
- Hillman, MN R+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.