Mesquite, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Mesquite

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Mesquite leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.

 

About 45% of adults in Mesquite typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mesquite, ~27% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Mesquite compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Mesquite leans more Democratic than 54 of 65 neighbors.

Mesquite runs about 32 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Mesquite is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Why Mesquite leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mesquite, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 90% of residents in Mesquite live in densely developed areas, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in Mesquite have never been married, above 92% of cities. Mesquite runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Mesquite, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Mesquite looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mesquite is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 24%, about 5 points above the Texas average of 19%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 33% of households in Mesquite rent, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.