Dallas is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 56% of adults in the Dallas area typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in the Dallas area, ~29% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dallas compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dallas sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 40 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 24 leaning the other way.
Dallas runs about 17 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Dallas sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dallas. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+29) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+31), a spread of about 60 points.
Why Dallas leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dallas, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dallas votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Dallas runs about 17 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Dallas, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Dallas looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Dallas is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in the Dallas area rent, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Highland Park, TX R+26
- University Park, TX R+13
- Cockrell Hill, TX D+20
- Farmers Branch, TX D+14
- Mesquite, TX D+18
- Addison, TX D+24
- Garland, TX D+15
- Irving, TX D+17
- Richardson, TX D+14
- Balch Springs, TX D+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Houston, TX D+3
- Washington, DC D+43
- Philadelphia, PA D+27
- Miami, FL D+4
- Atlanta, GA D+19
- Chicago, IL D+27
- Boston, MA D+30
- Phoenix, AZ Even
- San Francisco, CA D+48
- Riverside, CA Even
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.