Metolius leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Metolius typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Metolius, ~19% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Metolius compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Metolius leans more Republican than 5 of 9 neighbors.
Metolius runs about 58 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Metolius is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Metolius. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+39), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Metolius leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Metolius, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Metolius votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Metolius runs about 58 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Metolius sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 81% of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Metolius, OR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Metolius looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Metolius is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Madras, OR R+30
- Culver, OR R+49
- Terrebonne, OR R+38
- Warm Springs, OR D+56
- South Junction, OR R+8
- Willowdale, OR R+46
- Grizzly, OR R+54
- Redmond, OR R+14
- Ashwood, OR R+46
- Simnasho, OR D+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- DePew, OK R+63
- Fleming, OH R+56
- Tollhouse, CA R+47
- Ossipee, NH R+26
- Clarks Hill, SC R+53
- Earlington, KY R+44
- Booker, TX R+84
- Kaiser, MO R+66
- West Paris, ME R+29
- Nickerson, KS R+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.