Middle Verde leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Middle Verde typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Middle Verde, ~21% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Middle Verde compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Middle Verde leans more Republican than 5 of 23 neighbors.
Middle Verde runs about 8 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Middle Verde. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Middle Verde leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Middle Verde, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in Middle Verde are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Middle Verde, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Middle Verde looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Middle Verde is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 42% of households in Middle Verde rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 5% of homes in Middle Verde have more than one occupant per room, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Camp Verde, AZ R+30
- Cornville, AZ R+33
- Verde Village, AZ R+14
- Rimrock, AZ R+33
- Lake Montezuma, AZ R+27
- Cottonwood, AZ Even
- Clarkdale, AZ R+15
- Page Springs, AZ R+12
- Jerome, AZ R+31
- Big Park, AZ D+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gordon, WI R+23
- Spruce, MI R+29
- Cottonwood Shores, TX R+50
- Gilman, WI R+49
- Wallingford, VT R+15
- South Thomaston, ME D+6
- Palmyra, MI R+40
- Lupton, MI R+41
- Pittsford, MI R+52
- New Harmony, UT R+68
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.