Jerome leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Jerome typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jerome, ~23% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jerome compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jerome leans more Republican than 14 of 27 neighbors.
Jerome runs about 26 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why Jerome leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jerome, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Jerome live in densely developed areas, about 36 points below the Arizona average of 39%.
Developed land, local retail density, and voter turnout
Places that combine a rural land-use pattern and dense local retail within a mile tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Jerome, AZ does.
Why turnout in Jerome looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in Jerome have completed high school, about 11 points above the Arizona average of 87%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Clarkdale, AZ R+15
- Cottonwood, AZ Even
- Verde Village, AZ R+14
- Cornville, AZ R+33
- Tapco, AZ R+18
- Dewey, AZ R+33
- Middle Verde, AZ R+14
- Prescott Valley, AZ R+25
- Humboldt, AZ R+48
- Page Springs, AZ R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Piper City, IL R+39
- Cataldo, ID R+53
- Roanoke, LA R+67
- New Hope, WV R+58
- Red Cross, NC R+64
- Sharon Springs, KS R+81
- Loudon Center, NH R+17
- Cunningham, KY R+74
- Clyde, KS R+64
- Rover, GA R+72
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.