Frostburg leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Frostburg typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Frostburg, ~24% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Frostburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Frostburg is the least Republican-leaning.
Frostburg runs about 48 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Frostburg is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Frostburg. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+37), a spread of about 52 points.
Why Frostburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Frostburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Frostburg votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 42%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Frostburg runs against the grain of Maryland, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Frostburg, MD sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Frostburg looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 43% of households in Frostburg rent, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Midlothian, MD R+25
- Carlos, MD R+48
- Clarysville, MD R+45
- Finzel, MD R+57
- Mount Savage, MD R+56
- Midland, MD R+54
- Lonaconing, MD R+59
- La Vale, MD R+32
- Cresaptown, MD R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Algonac, MI R+33
- Cloverdale, CA D+33
- Natrona Heights, PA R+13
- Park Hills, MO R+47
- Galena Park, TX D+6
- Newcastle, OK R+56
- Shasta Lake, CA R+35
- Lyndon, KY D+16
- Oakland, TN R+33
- Springdale, OH D+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.