Midtown-Memphis is a Democratic stronghold. About 83% of voters here vote Democratic and 17% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Midtown-Memphis typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midtown-Memphis, ~44% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midtown-Memphis compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Midtown-Memphis leans more Democratic than 3 of 5 neighbors.
Midtown-Memphis runs about 95 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while Midtown-Memphis is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Midtown-Memphis. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+86) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+45), a spread of about 41 points.
Why Midtown-Memphis leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midtown-Memphis, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Midtown-Memphis votes against the grain of Tennessee. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while Midtown-Memphis runs about 95 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 55% of adults in Midtown-Memphis have never been married, above 88% of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Midtown-Memphis, Memphis, TN sits above the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Midtown-Memphis looks the way it does
Turnout in Midtown-Memphis sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Crosstown, Memphis, TN D+60
- Medical District, Memphis, TN D+71
- Downtown Memphis, Memphis, TN D+69
- East Memphis-Colonial-Yorkshire, Memphis, TN D+37
- Berclair-Highland Heights, Memphis, TN D+23
- Shelby Forest-Frayser, Memphis, TN D+62
- Raleigh, Memphis, TN D+68
- Parkway Village-Oakhaven, Memphis, TN D+73
- White Haven-Coro Lake, Memphis, TN D+83
- River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral, Memphis, TN D+30
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Southwestern Denver, Denver, CO D+32
- East Harlem, Manhattan, NY D+61
- Woodside, Queens, NY D+15
- El Rancho, Pico Rivera, CA D+29
- Williamsbridge, Bronx, NY D+47
- Lower Valley, El Paso, TX D+27
- University City, San Diego, CA D+44
- Far Northwest, Fort Worth, TX R+14
- Humboldt Park, Chicago, IL D+61
- Belmont Cragin, Chicago, IL D+33
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.