River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral, Memphis, TN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.

 

About 59% of adults in River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral, ~38% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral compares

River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.

River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral runs about 60 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+54) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 63 points.

Why River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral votes against the grain of Tennessee. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral runs about 60 points more Democratic.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral, Memphis, TN sits below the national average on this measure.

Why turnout in River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral looks the way it does

Turnout in River Oaks-Kirby-Balmoral sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.