Belmont Cragin leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 38% of adults in Belmont Cragin typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Belmont Cragin, ~25% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Belmont Cragin compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Belmont Cragin leans more Democratic than 14 of 46 neighbors.
Belmont Cragin runs about 22 points more Democratic than Illinois as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Belmont Cragin. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+40) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+27), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Belmont Cragin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Belmont Cragin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Belmont Cragin live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Belmont Cragin, Chicago, IL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Belmont Cragin looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Belmont Cragin is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 26%, about 18 points above the Illinois average of 8%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in Belmont Cragin report food insecurity, above 84% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 72% of adults in Belmont Cragin have completed high school, below 93% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Hanson Park, Chicago, IL D+43
- Kelvyn Grove, Chicago, IL D+35
- Schorsch, Chicago, IL D+12
- Montclare, Elmwood Park, IL D+21
- Grayland, Chicago, IL D+39
- Martin Luther, Chicago, IL D+26
- Pottage Park, Chicago, IL D+26
- Hermosa, Chicago, IL D+44
- Montrose, Chicago, IL D+39
- Austin, Chicago, IL D+74
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Humboldt Park, Chicago, IL D+61
- Far Northwest, Fort Worth, TX R+14
- University Heights, Bronx, NY D+31
- East Foothills, San Jose, CA D+27
- Lone Mountain, Las Vegas, NV D+6
- Lower Valley, El Paso, TX D+27
- Briargate, Colorado Springs, CO R+11
- Midtown-Memphis, Memphis, TN D+66
- Southeast Colorado Springs, Colorado Springs, CO D+12
- Valley Oak, Stockton, CA D+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.