Midtown Springfield, Springfield, MO Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Midtown Springfield

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Midtown Springfield leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.

 

About 31% of adults in Midtown Springfield typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midtown Springfield, ~19% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Midtown Springfield compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Midtown Springfield leans more Democratic than 18 of 21 neighbors.

Midtown Springfield runs about 36 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Midtown Springfield is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Midtown Springfield. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+29) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 17 points.

Why Midtown Springfield leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midtown Springfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Midtown Springfield live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 67% of adults in Midtown Springfield have never been married, above 97% of neighborhoods. Midtown Springfield runs against the grain of Missouri, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout

Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Midtown Springfield, Springfield, MO does.

Why turnout in Midtown Springfield looks the way it does

High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Midtown Springfield sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 62% of households in Midtown Springfield rent, about 37 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.