Harris leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Harris typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Harris, ~23% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Harris compares
Harris sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.
Harris runs about 5 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Harris. The south side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+14), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Harris leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Harris, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Harris hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points below the Florida average of 31%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Harris are family households, above 77% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Harris, Lehigh Acres, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Harris looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Harris is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 21%, about 6 points above the Florida average of 15%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Richmond, Lehigh Acres, FL R+11
- Sunshine, Lehigh Acres, FL D+6
- Arborwood, Fort Myers, FL R+23
- Tice, Fort Myers, FL D+10
- Winkler Safe Neighborhood, Fort Myers, FL D+18
- Fort Myers Villas, Villas, FL R+17
- Mariner, Cape Coral, FL R+31
- Pelican, Cape Coral, FL R+31
- Orangetree, Naples, FL R+28
- Summit Place in Naples, Naples, FL R+17
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Ednor Gardens-Lakeside, Baltimore, MD D+86
- Maple Heights-Lake Desire, Renton, WA D+17
- Southwood, Old Bridge, NJ R+22
- North Park, Billings, MT D+17
- Schenley, Youngstown, OH D+11
- Tierra Oeste, Albuquerque, NM D+15
- Midtown Springfield, Springfield, MO D+17
- Rosemont, Portland, ME D+69
- Greenwood and Hamilton, Trenton, NJ D+64
- Nodine Hill, Yonkers, NY D+34
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.