Grant Beach is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 42% of adults in Grant Beach typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grant Beach, ~22% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grant Beach compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Grant Beach sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 13 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 7 leaning the other way.
Grant Beach runs about 20 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Grant Beach sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Grant Beach. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 32 points.
Why Grant Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grant Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density pulls a place toward Democrats and a high white share pulls it toward Republicans. In Grant Beach the two roughly cancel. Grant Beach runs against the grain of Missouri, a split-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Grant Beach, Springfield, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Grant Beach looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Grant Beach sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Grant Beach sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Grant Beach have completed high school, below 82% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Midtown Springfield, Springfield, MO D+17
- Woodland Heights, Springfield, MO R+8
- Heart of the Westside, Springfield, MO R+15
- Downtown Springfield, Springfield, MO D+19
- West Central, Springfield, MO D+10
- Tom Watkins, Springfield, MO R+22
- Doling, Springfield, MO R+17
- Weller, Springfield, MO D+8
- Phelps, Springfield, MO D+31
- Robberson, Springfield, MO R+15
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Nearnorthwest, South Bend, IN D+48
- Downtown Akron, Akron, OH D+62
- Angells, Ann Arbor, MI D+69
- Mills Estates, Burlingame, CA D+43
- Hillwood Estates, Nashville, TN D+5
- Dahlman, Omaha, NE D+38
- Sycamore Manor, Sycamore, IL D+14
- Arena District, San Antonio, TX D+44
- South Side, Sandusky, OH D+20
- West Downtown Dearborn, Dearborn, MI D+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.