Midway City leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Midway City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midway City, ~25% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midway City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Midway City leans more Republican than 104 of 114 neighbors.
Midway City runs about 28 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Midway City is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Midway City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midway City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Midway City votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Midway City runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Midway City, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Midway City looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 57% of households in Midway City rent, about 32 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Midway City sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in Midway City report food insecurity, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Westminster, CA R+5
- Fountain Valley, CA R+3
- Garden Grove, CA Even
- Huntington Beach, CA R+4
- Stanton, CA D+6
- Sunset Beach, CA R+15
- Seal Beach, CA D+4
- Santa Ana, CA D+24
- Los Alamitos, CA Even
- Cypress, CA D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rehoboth, MA R+10
- Salisbury, NY R+14
- Rock Falls, IL R+16
- Russellville, KY R+49
- Sweetwater, TN R+63
- Lumberton, NJ D+19
- Port St. John, FL R+31
- Alma, AR R+59
- Eaton Rapids, MI R+27
- Globe, AZ R+33
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.