Mineral leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Mineral typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mineral, ~20% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mineral compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mineral leans more Republican than 5 of 10 neighbors.
Mineral runs about 59 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Mineral is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Mineral leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mineral, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mineral votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Mineral runs about 59 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Mineral sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 84% of cities). Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Mineral sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 86% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Mineral, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Mineral looks the way it does
Turnout in Mineral sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Paynes Creek, CA R+39
- Mill Creek, CA R+40
- Manton, CA R+38
- Viola, CA R+35
- Shingletown, CA R+38
- Chester, CA R+19
- Drakesbad, CA R+27
- Old Station, CA R+44
- Whitmore, CA R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pleasant Lake, MN R+27
- Worth, NY R+45
- Creston, SC R+23
- East Sutton, NH Even
- Blomeyer, MO R+55
- Veribest, TX R+69
- Utica, KS R+81
- King Lake, NE R+38
- Glenworth, PA R+42
- Manasota Key, FL R+36
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.