Mission Lake leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Mission Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mission Lake, ~42% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mission Lake compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Mission Lake is the least Democratic-leaning.
Mission Lake runs about 32 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Mission Lake is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Mission Lake. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+26) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+4), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Mission Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mission Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mission Lake votes against the grain of Missouri. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Mission Lake runs about 32 points more Democratic.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Mission Lake, Kansas City, MO does.
Why turnout in Mission Lake looks the way it does
Turnout in Mission Lake sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Willow Creek, Kansas City, MO D+55
- Hickman Mills, Kansas City, MO D+52
- Fairlane, Kansas City, MO D+58
- Ruskin Heights, Kansas City, MO D+58
- Marlborough Heights-Marlborough Pride, Kansas City, MO D+67
- Fairwood and Robandee, Kansas City, MO D+55
- East Meyer, Kansas City, MO D+80
- Tower Homes, Kansas City, MO D+67
- Ward Parkway, Kansas City, MO D+48
- Blenheim Square, Kansas City, MO D+79
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Old Town, Beaumont, TX D+32
- Evergreen Meadows, Evergreen, CO D+16
- Deercreek, Jacksonville, FL R+16
- Calton Gardens, Laredo, TX D+9
- Agua Dulce, El Paso, TX D+8
- City in the Hills, Bakersfield, CA R+23
- Western Washington University, Bellingham, WA D+73
- Conant Gardens, Detroit, MI D+86
- Poncey-Highland, Atlanta, GA D+67
- Hill Farms-University Neighborh, Madison, WI D+81
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.