Agua Dulce leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 39% of adults in Agua Dulce typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Agua Dulce, ~21% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Agua Dulce compares
Agua Dulce runs about 22 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Agua Dulce is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Agua Dulce. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the west side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Agua Dulce leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Agua Dulce, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Agua Dulce votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Agua Dulce runs about 22 points more Democratic.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Agua Dulce, El Paso, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Agua Dulce looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Agua Dulce is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 12 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 72% of adults in Agua Dulce have completed high school, below 93% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Ysleta Mission Valley, El Paso, TX D+24
- Las Tierras, El Paso, TX D+14
- East Side, El Paso, TX D+18
- Save The Valley 21, El Paso, TX D+28
- Lower Valley, El Paso, TX D+27
- Thomas Manor, El Paso, TX D+29
- Album Park, El Paso, TX D+19
- Stonehaven, El Paso, TX D+14
- El Paso Lower Valley, El Paso, TX D+26
- Cielo Vista South, El Paso, TX D+20
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Western Washington University, Bellingham, WA D+73
- Calton Gardens, Laredo, TX D+9
- Poncey-Highland, Atlanta, GA D+67
- Mission Lake, Kansas City, MO D+14
- Bakersville, Manchester, NH D+21
- Lake Ridge, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+17
- Old Town, Beaumont, TX D+32
- North Lake Waco, Waco, TX R+54
- City in the Hills, Bakersfield, CA R+23
- Evergreen Meadows, Evergreen, CO D+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.