Mission Valley East leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Mission Valley East typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mission Valley East, ~35% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mission Valley East compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Mission Valley East leans more Democratic than 11 of 37 neighbors.
Mission Valley East runs about 13 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Mission Valley East. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+38) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+26), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Mission Valley East leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Mission Valley East. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Mission Valley East, San Diego, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Mission Valley East looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 78% of households in Mission Valley East rent, about 53 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- University Heights, San Diego, CA D+63
- Bird Land, San Diego, CA D+32
- Linda Vista, San Diego, CA D+28
- Serra Mesa, San Diego, CA D+30
- Normal Heights, San Diego, CA D+60
- Hillcrest, San Diego, CA D+61
- North Park San Diego, San Diego, CA D+62
- Moreno Mission, San Diego, CA D+40
- Kensington, San Diego, CA D+57
- Mission Hills-San Diego, San Diego, CA D+42
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Century Village, West Palm Beach, FL D+11
- The Plot, Scranton, PA D+13
- Lake Lucina, Jacksonville, FL D+15
- Parkwood Maintenance, San Antonio, TX D+11
- Gravois Park, St. Louis, MO D+72
- Athenia, Clifton, NJ D+5
- Yorktown, Huntington Beach, CA Even
- Far West, Wilsonville, OR D+18
- Geneva, Orem, UT R+17
- 9th and 9th, Salt Lake City, UT D+70
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.