Moanalua leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Moanalua typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moanalua, ~31% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moanalua compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Moanalua leans more Democratic than 3 of 9 neighbors.
Moanalua runs about 10 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Moanalua. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Moanalua leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Moanalua. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with heavy housing overcrowding tend to turn out at a lower rate; Moanalua, Honolulu, HI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Moanalua looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 9% of homes in Moanalua have more than one occupant per room, above 89% of neighborhoods. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Moanalua sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Aliamanu, Honolulu, HI D+13
- Kalihi Valley, Honolulu, HI D+11
- Kalihi-Palama, Honolulu, HI D+11
- Airport, Honolulu, HI D+8
- Liliha-Kapalama, Honolulu, HI D+23
- The Arts District, Honolulu, HI D+23
- Downtown, Honolulu, HI D+33
- Nuuanu-Punchbowl, Honolulu, HI D+31
- Makiki, Honolulu, HI D+34
- Ala Moana-Kakaako, Honolulu, HI D+31
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Prospect Park, Minneapolis, MN D+70
- Kensington, Buffalo, NY D+76
- Spenard, Anchorage, AK D+29
- Seventh Avenue, Newark, NJ D+45
- Downtown Brooklyn, Brooklyn, NY D+79
- Beresford, San Mateo, CA D+52
- Shawnee, Louisville, KY D+86
- Northside Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI D+73
- Mondawin-Walbrook, Baltimore, MD D+86
- La Homa, Mission, TX R+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.