Kalihi Valley, Honolulu, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Kalihi Valley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Kalihi Valley leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.

 

About 40% of adults in Kalihi Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kalihi Valley, ~22% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Kalihi Valley compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Kalihi Valley leans more Democratic than 2 of 12 neighbors.

Kalihi Valley runs about 12 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.

Why Kalihi Valley leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Kalihi Valley. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Frequent mental distress and voter turnout

Places with a high frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a lower rate; Kalihi Valley, Honolulu, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.

Why turnout in Kalihi Valley looks the way it does

Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 15% of homes in Kalihi Valley have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.