Spenard leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 51% of adults in Spenard typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Spenard, ~33% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Spenard compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Spenard leans more Democratic than 8 of 15 neighbors.
Spenard runs about 43 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Spenard is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Spenard. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+39) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+24), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Spenard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Spenard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Spenard votes against the grain of Alaska. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Spenard runs about 43 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Spenard, Anchorage, AK sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Spenard looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in Spenard have more than one occupant per room, above 82% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Midtown, Anchorage, AK D+42
- Turnagain, Anchorage, AK D+30
- North Star, Anchorage, AK D+32
- South Addition, Anchorage, AK D+41
- Rogers Park, Anchorage, AK D+29
- Taku-Campbell, Anchorage, AK D+21
- Fairview, Anchorage, AK D+32
- Campbell Park, Anchorage, AK D+31
- Sand Lake, Anchorage, AK D+19
- Airport Heights, Anchorage, AK D+36
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Kensington, Buffalo, NY D+76
- Downtown Brooklyn, Brooklyn, NY D+79
- Beresford, San Mateo, CA D+52
- Shawnee, Louisville, KY D+86
- Moanalua, Honolulu, HI D+13
- Mondawin-Walbrook, Baltimore, MD D+86
- Airport-Pines Road, Shreveport, LA D+47
- Cathedral Park, Portland, OR D+66
- Prospect Park, Minneapolis, MN D+70
- Hillcrest, San Diego, CA D+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.