Nuuanu-Punchbowl leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Nuuanu-Punchbowl typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nuuanu-Punchbowl, ~34% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Nuuanu-Punchbowl compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Nuuanu-Punchbowl leans more Democratic than 8 of 15 neighbors.
Nuuanu-Punchbowl runs about 8 points more Democratic than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Nuuanu-Punchbowl. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+35) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+18), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Nuuanu-Punchbowl leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Nuuanu-Punchbowl. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Nuuanu-Punchbowl, Honolulu, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Nuuanu-Punchbowl looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Nuuanu-Punchbowl is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Liliha-Kapalama, Honolulu, HI D+23
- Makiki, Honolulu, HI D+34
- The Arts District, Honolulu, HI D+23
- Downtown, Honolulu, HI D+33
- Ala Moana-Kakaako, Honolulu, HI D+31
- Manoa, Honolulu, HI D+44
- Kalihi-Palama, Honolulu, HI D+11
- Kalihi Valley, Honolulu, HI D+11
- Mxcully-Moiliili, Honolulu, HI D+34
- Waikiki, Honolulu, HI D+32
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- East Central, Salt Lake City, UT D+68
- Civic Center, Stockton, CA D+34
- McCullough Hills, Henderson, NV D+4
- College Hill, Cincinnati, OH D+61
- Fairfield, Cypress, TX R+24
- Crocker Amazon, San Francisco, CA D+34
- Glen Oaks, Queens, NY D+8
- Southwest Carrollton, Carrollton, TX D+13
- Montavilla, Portland, OR D+65
- North Beach, San Francisco, CA D+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.