Modena leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Modena typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Modena, ~32% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Modena compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Modena leans more Republican than 81 of 129 neighbors.
Modena runs about 23 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Modena is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Modena. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Modena leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Modena, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Modena drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Modena runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Modena, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Modena looks the way it does
Turnout in Modena sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Clintondale, NY R+15
- Gardiner, NY D+13
- Plattekill, NY R+16
- Wallkill, NY R+20
- New Paltz, NY D+51
- St. Andrew, NY R+26
- Ireland Corners, NY D+31
- Milton, NY R+8
- Ohioville, NY D+26
- Highland, NY D+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wyanet, IL R+32
- Mayfield, MI R+26
- McMechen, WV R+44
- Kinsman, OH R+50
- Williston Highlands, FL R+64
- Minnesota City, MN R+21
- Valleyford, WA R+32
- Waddington, NY R+26
- Fort Polk North, LA R+37
- Tamaroa, IL R+56
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.