City Center is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.
About 33% of adults in City Center typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in City Center, ~26% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~67% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How City Center compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, City Center leans more Democratic than 12 of 18 neighbors.
City Center runs about 69 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while City Center is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within City Center. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+72) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+46), a spread of about 27 points.
Why City Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for City Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
City Center votes against the grain of Ohio. Ohio leans Republican overall, while City Center runs about 69 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 59% of adults in City Center have never been married, above 92% of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; City Center, Toledo, OH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in City Center looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 91% of households in City Center rent, about 66 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 35% of adults in City Center report food insecurity, above 88% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and City Center sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Roosevelt-Toledo, Toledo, OH D+89
- Old West End, Toledo, OH D+75
- Onyx, Toledo, OH D+86
- Olde Towne, Toledo, OH D+70
- East Toledo, Toledo, OH D+15
- LaGrange, Toledo, OH D+65
- North River, Toledo, OH D+44
- Southside, Toledo, OH D+34
- Birmingham, Toledo, OH D+12
- Ottawa, Toledo, OH D+55
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Tucson Park West, Tucson, AZ D+37
- Avondale, Everett, WA D+20
- Weller, Springfield, MO D+8
- City Center, Miami Beach, FL D+14
- Lincoln Park-Buffalo, Tonawanda, NY D+16
- Delman, San Bernardino, CA D+25
- Monroe Ward, Richmond, VA D+56
- Enderis Park, Milwaukee, WI D+61
- South 39th Street, Missoula, MT D+14
- Keewaydin, Minneapolis, MN D+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.