Moorpark leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Moorpark typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moorpark, ~38% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moorpark compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Moorpark leans more Democratic than 17 of 50 neighbors.
Moorpark runs about 12 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Moorpark. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Moorpark leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Moorpark, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 71% of residents in Moorpark live in densely developed areas, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Moorpark sits in the top quarter (about 44%, above 90% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 33% of adults in Moorpark have never been married, above 83% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Moorpark, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Moorpark looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Moorpark is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Virginia Colony, CA R+7
- Moorpark Home Acres, CA R+13
- Thousand Oaks, CA D+11
- Somis, CA R+13
- Newbury Park, CA D+13
- Simi Valley, CA Even
- Fillmore, CA D+5
- Camarillo, CA D+8
- Oak Park, CA D+24
- Sespe, CA R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Indian Trail, NC R+15
- Marion, IN R+24
- Clementon, NJ D+35
- Lauderdale Lakes, FL D+71
- Grass Valley, CA D+5
- Marrero, LA D+20
- Michigan City, IN D+12
- Mount Laurel, NJ D+22
- Hopkinsville, KY R+13
- Brighton, NY D+50
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.