Virginia Colony leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Virginia Colony typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Virginia Colony, ~30% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Virginia Colony compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Virginia Colony leans more Republican than 50 of 55 neighbors.
Virginia Colony runs about 27 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Virginia Colony is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Virginia Colony leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Virginia Colony, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Virginia Colony votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 35%, well below the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Virginia Colony are family households, above 89% of cities. Virginia Colony runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Virginia Colony, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Virginia Colony looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Virginia Colony is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Moorpark, CA D+8
- Thousand Oaks, CA D+11
- Simi Valley, CA Even
- Moorpark Home Acres, CA R+13
- Oak Park, CA D+24
- Brandeis, CA R+4
- Newbury Park, CA D+13
- Westlake Village, CA D+12
- Fillmore, CA D+5
- Somis, CA R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Edwards Air Force Base, CA R+10
- Valley Farms, AZ R+40
- Twin Oaks, LA R+41
- Kampville, MO R+43
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.