Mott Haven, Bronx, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Mott Haven

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Mott Haven leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.

 

About 39% of adults in Mott Haven typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mott Haven, ~28% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Mott Haven compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Mott Haven leans more Democratic than 26 of 46 neighbors.

Mott Haven runs about 34 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Mott Haven. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+60) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+44), a spread of about 16 points.

Why Mott Haven leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mott Haven, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 56% of adults in Mott Haven have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 47%). Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in Mott Haven is about 4%, about 68 points below the U.S. average of 72%.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Mott Haven, Bronx, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Mott Haven looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mott Haven is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 22 points below the New York average of 64%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 94% of households in Mott Haven rent, about 69 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 52% of adults in Mott Haven report food insecurity, in the top fraction of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.