Grottoes is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Grottoes typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grottoes, ~18% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grottoes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grottoes leans more Republican than 52 of 77 neighbors.
Grottoes runs about 57 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Grottoes is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grottoes. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+58) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+46), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Grottoes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grottoes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Grottoes votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Grottoes runs about 57 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Grottoes runs against that pattern.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Grottoes, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Grottoes looks the way it does
Turnout in Grottoes sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Piedmont, VA R+57
- Port Republic, VA R+44
- Weyers Cave, VA R+41
- Knightly, VA R+45
- New Hope, VA R+56
- Crimora, VA R+54
- Fort Defiance, VA R+51
- Greenwood, VA R+13
- Mount Crawford, VA R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rockvale, TN R+51
- Windsor Heights, IA D+25
- Lascassas, TN R+57
- China Spring, TX R+72
- Park Hill, OK R+35
- Sylvania, GA R+12
- Kayenta, AZ D+49
- Edmonton, KY R+62
- Dublin, TX R+60
- Ashburnham, MA Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.