Mountain Grove is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Mountain Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mountain Grove, ~16% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mountain Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mountain Grove leans more Republican than 36 of 61 neighbors.
Mountain Grove runs about 62 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Mountain Grove is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mountain Grove. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+47), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Mountain Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mountain Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Mountain Grove live in densely developed areas, about 23 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Mountain Grove runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Mountain Grove, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Mountain Grove looks the way it does
Turnout in Mountain Grove sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Warm Springs, VA R+51
- West Warm Springs, VA R+55
- Bacova, VA R+46
- Minnehaha Springs, WV R+60
- Huntersville, WV R+60
- Frost, WV R+61
- Bacova Junction, VA R+47
- McClung, VA R+60
- Mitchelltown, VA R+50
- Williamsville, VA R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lyford, IN R+60
- Sarles, ND R+48
- West Franklin, IN R+40
- Naborton, LA Even
- Helmer, ID R+54
- New Era, WV R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.