Muddyfork, AR Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Muddyfork

Muddyfork is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.

 
Muddyfork, AR block-group political-lean map
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About 57% of adults in Muddyfork typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Muddyfork, ~11% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Muddyfork, AR block-group voter-turnout map
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How Muddyfork compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Muddyfork leans more Republican than 16 of 48 neighbors.

Muddyfork runs about 29 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Muddyfork. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+78) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+47), a spread of about 31 points.

Why Muddyfork leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Muddyfork, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 76% of households in Muddyfork are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Muddyfork, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Muddyfork looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Muddyfork is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 31% of households in Muddyfork rent, above 86% of cities. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 5% of homes in Muddyfork have more than one occupant per room, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Cities with Similar Populations

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.