Mineral Springs leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Mineral Springs typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mineral Springs, ~35% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mineral Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mineral Springs is the most Democratic-leaning.
Mineral Springs runs about 44 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Mineral Springs is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mineral Springs. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+28) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+30), a spread of about 58 points.
Why Mineral Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mineral Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mineral Springs votes against the grain of Arkansas. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Mineral Springs runs about 44 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in Mineral Springs have never been married, above 88% of cities.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Mineral Springs, AR does.
Why turnout in Mineral Springs looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mineral Springs is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Buck Range, AR R+5
- Tollette, AR D+8
- Nashville, AR R+32
- Paraloma, AR R+67
- Ozan, AR R+34
- Columbus, AR R+10
- Muddyfork, AR R+60
- Saratoga, AR R+8
- Milford, AR R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Langhorne Manor, PA D+3
- Castleberry, AL R+17
- Waterville, WA R+38
- Bingham, ME R+31
- Cumberland, OH R+63
- Tonica, IL R+40
- Macon, NC R+19
- Necaise, MS R+84
- Greenfield, IL R+65
- Prairie, MS D+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.