Guthrie is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Guthrie typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Guthrie, ~10% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Guthrie compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Guthrie leans more Republican than 7 of 11 neighbors.
Guthrie runs about 50 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Guthrie. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+59) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+41), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Guthrie leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Guthrie, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Guthrie live in densely developed areas, about 38 points below the Arizona average of 39%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Guthrie, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Guthrie looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Guthrie is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 33% of households in Guthrie rent, above 89% of cities. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in Guthrie have more than one occupant per room, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- York, AZ R+59
- Clifton, AZ R+36
- Morenci, AZ R+43
- Duncan, AZ R+61
- Buena Vista, AZ R+41
- Franklin, AZ R+66
- Mule Creek, NM R+40
- San Jose, AZ R+47
- Virden, NM R+55
- Solomon, AZ R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Rangeley, ME R+10
- Dargin, AL R+41
- Dayson, LA R+56
- Tapoco, NC R+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.