Muskogee County leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Muskogee County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Muskogee County, ~19% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Muskogee County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Muskogee County leans more Republican than 2 of 10 neighbors.
Muskogee County runs about 19 points more Democratic than Oklahoma as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Muskogee County. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+57), a spread of about 61 points.
Why Muskogee County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Muskogee County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Muskogee County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 50%, far above the Oklahoma average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Muskogee County, OK sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Muskogee County looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 24% of adults in Muskogee County report food insecurity, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Muskogee County sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 32% of households in Muskogee County rent, above 81% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Cherokee County, OK R+28
- McIntosh County, OK R+55
- Wagoner County, OK R+40
- Okmulgee County, OK R+40
- Haskell County, OK R+69
- Sequoyah County, OK R+58
- Mayes County, OK R+56
- Tulsa County, OK Even
- Adair County, OK R+54
- Rogers County, OK R+49
Counties with Similar Populations
- Chippewa County, WI R+24
- Belmont County, OH R+45
- Wayne County, IN R+31
- Crow Wing County, MN R+29
- Montcalm County, MI R+41
- Apache County, AZ D+30
- Marquette County, MI Even
- Grant County, IN R+34
- Wilkes County, NC R+57
- Harrison County, WV R+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oklahoma State Election Board, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.