Mayes County is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Mayes County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mayes County, ~14% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mayes County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Mayes County leans more Republican than 9 of 11 neighbors.
Mayes County runs about 8 points more Republican than Oklahoma as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Mayes County. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+50), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Mayes County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mayes County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 70% of households in Mayes County are family households, above 80% of counties.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Mayes County, OK sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Mayes County looks the way it does
Turnout in Mayes County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Rogers County, OK R+49
- Craig County, OK R+53
- Delaware County, OK R+58
- Wagoner County, OK R+40
- Cherokee County, OK R+28
- Tulsa County, OK Even
- Nowata County, OK R+61
- Muskogee County, OK R+29
- Adair County, OK R+54
- Ottawa County, OK R+53
Counties with Similar Populations
- Union County, AR R+20
- Webster County, MO R+64
- Douglas County, MN R+36
- Person County, NC R+24
- Wayne County, WV R+55
- Crawford County, KS R+28
- Oconto County, WI R+40
- Des Moines County, IA R+8
- Jim Wells County, TX R+14
- Fremont County, WY R+32
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oklahoma State Election Board, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.