Muskogee leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Muskogee typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Muskogee, ~22% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Muskogee compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Muskogee leans more Republican than 1 of 37 neighbors.
Muskogee runs about 29 points more Democratic than Oklahoma as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Muskogee. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+14) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+39), a spread of about 53 points.
Why Muskogee leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Muskogee, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Muskogee votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 67%, far above the Oklahoma average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Muskogee, OK sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Muskogee looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Muskogee is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 6 points below the Oklahoma average of 55%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in Muskogee rent, compared to around 13% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Muskogee report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Summit, OK R+48
- Okay, OK R+51
- Fort Gibson, OK R+49
- Braggs, OK R+65
- Beland, OK R+53
- Taft, OK R+9
- Shady Grove, OK R+47
- Oktaha, OK R+53
- Porter, OK R+55
- Wainwright, OK R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Moses Lake, WA R+31
- Hamtramck, MI D+11
- Prosper, TX R+26
- Eagle Mountain, UT R+48
- Williamsport, PA R+10
- Pahrump, NV R+39
- Lancaster, TX D+61
- Avon, IN R+12
- Shenandoah, LA R+6
- Gig Harbor, WA D+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oklahoma State Election Board, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.