Myrtle Creek leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Myrtle Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Myrtle Creek, ~24% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Myrtle Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Myrtle Creek leans more Republican than 9 of 25 neighbors.
Myrtle Creek runs about 48 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Myrtle Creek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Myrtle Creek. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+30), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Myrtle Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Myrtle Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Myrtle Creek votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 37%, modestly above the Oregon average of 31%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Myrtle Creek sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 89% of cities). Myrtle Creek runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Myrtle Creek, OR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Myrtle Creek looks the way it does
Turnout in Myrtle Creek sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tri-City, OR R+40
- Surprise Valley, OR R+37
- Canyonville, OR R+28
- Riddle, OR R+33
- Dillard, OR R+46
- Glengary, OR R+52
- Winston, OR R+37
- Days Creek, OR R+40
- Green, OR R+31
- Dixonville, OR R+49
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lakeville, MA R+9
- Berlin, NH R+19
- Getzville, NY D+12
- Incline Village, NV D+12
- Colbert, WA R+31
- Willard, MO R+52
- Riverside, IL D+39
- Buchanan, MI R+22
- Oakwood, GA R+25
- Kennedale, TX R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.