Willard is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Willard typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Willard, ~20% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Willard compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Willard leans more Republican than 8 of 58 neighbors.
Willard runs about 34 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Willard. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+41), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Willard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Willard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Willard votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 26%, about 10 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Willard are family households, above 75% of cities.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Willard, MO does.
Why turnout in Willard looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Willard have completed high school, about 7 points above the Missouri average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Glidewell, MO R+57
- Walnut Grove, MO R+63
- Bois D Arc, MO R+63
- Brighton, MO R+67
- Ash Grove, MO R+62
- Valley Water Mills, MO R+52
- Springfield, MO R+10
- Fruitland, MO R+63
- Pleasant Hope, MO R+68
- Morrisville, MO R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Colbert, WA R+31
- Incline Village, NV D+12
- Riverside, IL D+39
- Myrtle Creek, OR R+33
- Lakeville, MA R+9
- Berlin, NH R+19
- Kennedale, TX R+16
- Getzville, NY D+12
- Minnehaha, WA D+17
- Buchanan, MI R+22
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.