Incline Village leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Incline Village typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Incline Village, ~45% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Incline Village compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Incline Village leans more Democratic than 25 of 35 neighbors.
Incline Village runs about 15 points more Democratic than Nevada as a whole. Nevada leans Republican overall, while Incline Village is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Incline Village. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+23) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Incline Village leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Incline Village, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 66% of residents in Incline Village live in densely developed areas, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Incline Village sits in the top quarter (about 65%, above 98% of cities). Incline Village runs against the grain of Nevada, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Incline Village, NV sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Incline Village looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Incline Village is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Crystal Bay, NV Even
- Kings Beach, CA D+10
- Tahoe Vista, CA D+15
- Carnelian Bay, CA D+36
- Bowman, CA D+19
- Washoe Valley, NV R+32
- Floriston, CA D+5
- Tahoe City, CA D+14
- Carson City, NV R+11
- New Empire, NV R+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Willard, MO R+52
- Colbert, WA R+31
- Riverside, IL D+39
- Myrtle Creek, OR R+33
- Lakeville, MA R+9
- Berlin, NH R+19
- Getzville, NY D+12
- Kennedale, TX R+16
- Buchanan, MI R+22
- Minnehaha, WA D+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.