Lakeville leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Lakeville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lakeville, ~38% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lakeville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lakeville leans more Republican than 98 of 126 neighbors.
Lakeville runs about 34 points more Republican than Massachusetts as a whole. Massachusetts leans Democratic overall, while Lakeville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lakeville. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Lakeville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lakeville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lakeville votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 29%, well below the Massachusetts average of 50%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Lakeville are family households, above 84% of cities. Lakeville runs against the grain of Massachusetts, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lakeville, MA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Lakeville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lakeville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lakeside, MA R+14
- Heaven Heights, MA R+16
- East Taunton, MA R+11
- Middleborough Center, MA Even
- East Freetown, MA R+17
- Middleboro, MA R+12
- Berkley, MA R+19
- Middleborough, MA R+17
- Assonet, MA R+14
- Warrentown, MA R+2
Cities with Similar Populations
- Myrtle Creek, OR R+33
- Getzville, NY D+12
- Berlin, NH R+19
- Incline Village, NV D+12
- Colbert, WA R+31
- Willard, MO R+52
- Buchanan, MI R+22
- Riverside, IL D+39
- Oakwood, GA R+25
- Kennedale, TX R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.