Near Northeast leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 39% of adults in Near Northeast typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Near Northeast, ~29% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Near Northeast compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Near Northeast leans more Democratic than 10 of 23 neighbors.
Near Northeast runs about 35 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Near Northeast. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+55) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+45), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Near Northeast leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Near Northeast, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Near Northeast live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in Near Northeast have never been married, above 82% of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Near Northeast, Syracuse, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Near Northeast looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 79% of households in Near Northeast rent, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in Near Northeast report food insecurity, above 84% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in Near Northeast have completed high school, below 83% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Lincoln Park-Syracuse, Syracuse, NY D+42
- Downtown Syracuse, Syracuse, NY D+63
- Near Eastside, Syracuse, NY D+69
- Washington Square, Syracuse, NY D+32
- Northside, Syracuse, NY D+27
- University Hill, Syracuse, NY D+58
- Southwest, Syracuse, NY D+73
- Near Westside, Syracuse, NY D+53
- Eastwood, Syracuse, NY D+37
- Westside, Syracuse, NY D+37
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Toddville Road, Charlotte, NC D+64
- River Park, South Bend, IN D+21
- Tolleston, Gary, IN D+82
- University Village, Chicago, IL D+67
- Wolf Pen Creek District, College Station, TX D+30
- Broadview, Seattle, WA D+63
- Mt Eden, Hayward, CA D+30
- Leslie, Decatur, GA D+84
- Powderhorn Park, Minneapolis, MN D+73
- East Watertown, Watertown Town, MA D+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.