Mt Eden leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Mt Eden typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mt Eden, ~34% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mt Eden compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Mt Eden leans more Democratic than 1 of 21 neighbors.
Mt Eden runs about 10 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Mt Eden leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mt Eden, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Mt Eden is about 11%, about 62 points below the U.S. average of 72%.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Mt Eden, Hayward, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Mt Eden looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 10% of homes in Mt Eden have more than one occupant per room, above 90% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Southgate, Hayward, CA D+39
- Santa Clara Street, Hayward, CA D+39
- Longwood-Winton Grove, Hayward, CA D+37
- Glen Eden, Hayward, CA D+33
- Jackson Triangle, Hayward, CA D+38
- Harder-Tennyson, Hayward, CA D+37
- Burbank-Hayward, Hayward, CA D+42
- Whitman-Mocine, Hayward, CA D+33
- Mission-Foothill, Hayward, CA D+43
- Tennyson-Alquire, Hayward, CA D+35
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Powderhorn Park, Minneapolis, MN D+73
- Wolf Pen Creek District, College Station, TX D+30
- University Village, Chicago, IL D+67
- Southland Deerfield Open Gates, Lexington, KY D+30
- Tolleston, Gary, IN D+82
- Berkeley, Denver, CO D+64
- Toddville Road, Charlotte, NC D+64
- River Park, South Bend, IN D+21
- Near Northeast, Syracuse, NY D+48
- Rolling Hills Ranch, Chula Vista, CA D+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.