Neilton leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Neilton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Neilton, ~16% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Neilton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Neilton leans more Republican than 18 of 20 neighbors.
Neilton runs about 55 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Neilton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Neilton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Neilton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Neilton live in densely developed areas, about 40 points below the Washington average of 41%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Neilton sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 88% of cities). Neilton runs against the grain of Washington, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Neilton, WA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Neilton looks the way it does
Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 79% of adults in Neilton have completed high school, below 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Quinault, WA R+37
- Humptulips, WA R+26
- Grisdale, WA R+28
- Oyhut, WA R+31
- Amanda Park, WA D+21
- Greenwood, WA R+35
- Copalis Crossing, WA R+25
- Moclips, WA D+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Nolin, KY R+64
- Talmage, UT R+76
- South Prairie, WA R+38
- Jet, OK R+73
- Mooreville, TX R+68
- Hickory Plains, AR R+72
- Tiffany, CO R+38
- Hadensville, KY R+50
- Synarep, WA R+31
- Molino, MO R+65
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.