Nevada County leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Nevada County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nevada County, ~24% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Nevada County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Nevada County leans more Republican than 6 of 10 neighbors.
Politically, Nevada County sits close to the rest of Arkansas.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Nevada County. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+66), a spread of about 69 points.
Why Nevada County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nevada County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 12% of residents in Nevada County live in densely developed areas, about 25 points below the U.S. average of 36%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Nevada County sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 91% of counties).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Nevada County, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Nevada County looks the way it does
Turnout in Nevada County sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Hempstead County, AR R+18
- Clark County, AR R+18
- Ouachita County, AR R+14
- Columbia County, AR R+18
- Lafayette County, AR R+32
- Pike County, AR R+69
- Howard County, AR R+33
- Miller County, AR R+26
- Little River County, AR R+45
- Dallas County, AR R+18
Counties with Similar Populations
- Tyler County, WV R+61
- Custer County, SD R+53
- Rosebud County, MT R+20
- Atkinson County, GA R+57
- Keith County, NE R+60
- Houston County, TN R+64
- Prairie County, AR R+64
- Hickory County, MO R+62
- Mercer County, ND R+65
- Coffey County, KS R+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.