Dallas County leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Dallas County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dallas County, ~26% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dallas County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Dallas County leans more Republican than 2 of 12 neighbors.
Dallas County runs about 12 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Dallas County. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+79), a spread of about 83 points.
Why Dallas County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dallas County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in Dallas County hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 18%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 82% of residents in Dallas County drive to work alone, above 84% of counties.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Dallas County, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Dallas County looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Dallas County sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Calhoun County, AR R+61
- Cleveland County, AR R+69
- Ouachita County, AR R+14
- Grant County, AR R+71
- Bradley County, AR R+30
- Jefferson County, AR D+22
- Clark County, AR R+18
- Hot Spring County, AR R+51
- Lincoln County, AR R+41
- Drew County, AR R+25
Counties with Similar Populations
- Howard County, NE R+64
- Wayne County, IA R+56
- Moore County, TN R+69
- Wilkin County, MN R+39
- Fulton County, KY R+41
- Norman County, MN R+27
- Rio Blanco County, CO R+46
- Randolph County, GA D+3
- Treutlen County, GA R+35
- Surry County, VA D+2
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.