New Hill is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 84% of adults in New Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Hill, ~44% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Hill leans more Democratic than 26 of 37 neighbors.
New Hill runs about 7 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Hill. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 36 points.
Why New Hill leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in New Hill. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; New Hill, NC sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in New Hill looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. New Hill is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in New Hill own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in New Hill have completed high school, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hollemans Crossroads, NC R+22
- Haywood, NC R+24
- Apex, NC D+15
- Holly Springs, NC D+7
- Fearrington, NC R+8
- Corinth, NC R+38
- Moncure, NC R+17
- Cary, NC D+27
- Cokesbury, NC R+49
- Fuquay-Varina, NC R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Walters, OK R+63
- Monroeville, IN R+52
- South Vienna, OH R+55
- Cana, VA R+66
- Graysville, TN R+66
- Hawthorne, NV R+47
- Enfield, NH D+6
- Lake Crystal, MN R+23
- Priceville, AL R+63
- Helena Valley Northeast, MT R+37
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.